One Prediction Model Based on BP Neural Network for Newcastle Disease
نویسندگان
چکیده
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the correlation between meteorological factors and Newcastle disease incidence, and to determine the key factors that affect Newcastle disease. Having built BP neural network forecasting model by Matlab 7.0 software, we tested the performance of the model according to the coefficient of determination (R2) and absolute values of the difference between predictive value and practical incidence. The result showed that 6 kinds of meteorological factors determined, and the model’s coefficient of determination is 0.760, and the performance of the model is very good. Finally, we build Newcastle disease forecasting model, and apply BP neural network theory in animal disease forecasting research firstly.
منابع مشابه
Prediction of Driver’s Accelerating Behavior in the Stop and Go Maneuvers Using Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network Hybrid Intelligence
Research on vehicle longitudinal control with a stop and go system is presently one of the most important topics in the field of intelligent transportation systems. The purpose of stop and go systems is to assist drivers for repeatedly accelerate and stop their vehicles in traffic jams. This system can improve the driving comfort, safety and reduce the danger of collisions and fuel consumption....
متن کاملAn Adaptive Fuzzy Neural Network Model for Bankruptcy Prediction of Listed Companies on the Tehran Stock Exchange
Nowadays, prediction of corporate bankruptcy is one of the most important issues which have received great attentions among academia and practitioners. Although several studies have been accomplished in the field of bankruptcy prediction, less attention has been devoted for proposing a systematic approach based on fuzzy neural networks. The present study proposes fuzzy neural networks to predi...
متن کاملNanofluid Thermal Conductivity Prediction Model Based on Artificial Neural Network
Heat transfer fluids have inherently low thermal conductivity that greatly limits the heat exchange efficiency. While the effectiveness of extending surfaces and redesigning heat exchange equipments to increase the heat transfer rate has reached a limit, many research activities have been carried out attempting to improve the thermal transport properties of the fluids by adding more thermally c...
متن کاملPredicting air pollution in Tehran: Genetic algorithm and back propagation neural network
Suspended particles have deleterious effects on human health and one of the reasons why Tehran is effected is its geographically location of air pollution. One of the most important ways to reduce air pollution is to predict the concentration of pollutants. This paper proposed a hybrid method to predict the air pollution in Tehran based on particulate matter less than 10 microns (PM10), and the...
متن کاملPrediction of Breast Tumor Malignancy Using Neural Network and Whale Optimization Algorithms (WOA)
Introduction: Breast cancer is the most prevalent cause of cancer mortality among women. Early diagnosis of breast cancer gives patients greater survival time. The present study aims to provide an algorithm for more accurate prediction and more effective decision-making in the treatment of patients with breast cancer. Methods: The present study was applied, descriptive-analytical, based on the ...
متن کامل